Mont fleur scenario planning software

Scenarios help by legitimizing a dialogue, challenging conventional wisdom, initiating widespread discussion, and creating the possibility of genuine transformation. Also referred to as scenario mapping, scenario development or scenario analysis, the process typically involves identify external trends and disruptive innovations, exploring how the future could unfold, what the consequences would be for the business, and how to respond with alternative strategic plans. Planners used the scenario methodology to explore possibilities for transforming south africa at the end of apartheid. Scenario thinking as a way of approaching the future is increasingly being used as a tool for strategizing in private and public sector organizations. The mont fleur scenario exercise, an experiment in futureforging, brought together 25 south africans over four intense, informal weekends at the mont fleur conference centre near cape town. Ever heard of the mont fleur scenarios from 199192. One of the most important surprises and successes of the post1994 anc government was its strict and consistent fiscal discipline, as articulated in the 1996 growth, employment, and reconstruction gear policy. So mont fleur helped to shift the economic thinking and action of the anc and to avert an economic disaster. They talked through what was happening in south africa, what might happen, and what, in the light of these possible futures, could be done. Integrating scenarios into strategic planning at royal dutchshell. The group compiled 30 possible stories about the next decade. The mont fleur scenarios deeper news formerly published as the deeper news is a series of articles published by global business network deeper news and the deeper news are registered trademarks of global business network.

By jay ogilvy strategic foresight can be gained through more than one lens. The transformative scenario planning process that was invented at mont fleur originated in the adaptive scenario planning process that had been invented at shell two decades earlierbut it turns this adaptive process on its head. The mont fleur scenario exercise, undertaken in south africa during 199192, was innovative and important because, in the midst of a deep. Transformative scenario planning tsp is an underdeveloped approach, which is rarely applied in academic research. In the 1960s, general electric and royal dutch shell introduced scenario techniques in their corporate planning procedures and in the 1970s scenarios achieved prominence in speculations about the future of society, the economy and the environment. This process drove national debate around possible futures for south. Beyond the microscope of simple budgeting and the macroscope of geopolitics lie.